Introduction Topics

PaulRen's picture

Market discrepancy never seen before.

Such low now 1.2% US dividend returns on S & P 500 in a likely further sinking Dollar currency Vs bank saving accts in the US at 3-4.5%. Here its just the opposite: bank savings at 0.3% and dividends yields to be had at 5-7% in a strong Thai Baht...

PaulRen's picture

Overall Thai inflation is 0 or slightly negative.

Overall Thai inflation is 0 or slightly negative here as we notice and regularly monitor. While property and rental prices have moved-up in certain high-end destinations while food especially imports- are priced up somewhat..., yet most higher-end items like A/C, washing machines, gasoline & electricity etc...are lower while...

PaulRen's picture

A good mail received & appreciated -and how I answer.

Here is a good summary on the state of affairs at least as how I see it -by how I answer a welcomed letter from a long follower.

PaulRen's picture

US stock over bulls. Africa emerging. China beating in performance.

US stock over-bulls and keep patting themselves on the back.  Africa is emerging. China beating in performance as I here foresaw.

PaulRen's picture

Trust is a key factor in determining how well a country excels, or not, also on how stocks are valuated.

In a book called "Trust”, by Francis Fukuyama 1995 it is well documented how trust in governments (and companies) is a/the key factor in determining how well a country excels, or not, on so many different levels....and how its stocks are valuated.

Trust in the US...

PaulRen's picture

US stocks -more then just a correction. The World beyond dominant USA.

The World is changing beyond dominant USA. This is the biggest change in a long time (maybe our lifetime) and will force global mega investors and others, to look beyond now peaked, USA stocks in my view.

PaulRen's picture

Moving with cautions optimism into year 2025.

With cautious optimism into year 2025. Some added value comments...I want to share.

Moving forward into 2025 will be SET interesting.  As by mid Feb. '25 most 4Q. earnings will be released along with its full year 2024 results.  Many will show full calender year 2024 results -and...

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Things may at last be changing on the SET.

Change may be coming on the SET, with an investor/trader new rotation into highly undervalued alternative highest dividend choices, so long neglected.

The past few days saw a very large sell-off in some of the most previously active -way over traded- big cap stocks here. Which dominated volume for many
months,...

PaulRen's picture

Stock market distortions -can be an unusual opportunity.

On the Thai Stock Exchange mkt. pricing remains as distorted as ever before seen; an unusual rational investor opportunity.

A few very large cap. stocks for long dominate trading and so move and distort the SET index. These spare command undeserving high p/e ratios of...

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