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New "dividend horses" year 2026, model portfolio.

Due to my strong investor conviction on December 31 midnight here, I will upload for members a new 2026 year model portfolio for the first time in many years.

PaulRen's picture

Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract.

Here is my basic case why invest in select quality/reputable high dividend yielding non-biggest cap. Thai stocks:   Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract. 

One of the attractions of gold is that it often moves opposite to generally perceived "good news". It can be proven in portfolio-theory that investments which do not move in tandem are a great way to reduce investors risks, i.e. volatility. US centric investors may not have fully grasped this -beyond gold.  The shortcoming with gold is that it has 0 current yield, so no "invisible-hand" to help holding it up, i.e. no income if/when times turn bad.  Emerging mkts. like oversold Thailand have such very, very different companies than the US, while yielding far, far higher current dividends...and at 1/4 or less US p/e ratios. (Average dividend yields on US stock is barely 1.2%).   If there was a US set back or a bubble burst there, as there always is in time,...these, as I know them, would hold-up far better I am convinced, as they are soo different and soo far removed -in all ways. Besides not least, for years already so under-owned!  Paul A. Renaud. www.thaistocks.com

PaulRen's picture

SET's ignored dividend horses.

The Thai stock exchange offers some of the highest so called "yield-gap" stocks -anywhere in the world! All the while with US mkt. strong offsetting-correlations.  Together, a very desirably global portfolio enhancer and risk reducer!

With some of the highest dividend yielding stocks anywhere, at 6-9%, vs. very low interest paid on Thai bank savings accounts (around 0.3%).   This means ultra-high quality "yield cap." shares can be owned (including for foreigners) to experienced stock pickers here.  I believe this "yield-gap" is among the World's largest, anywhere!  

Why is this:  1) retail investors have shunned local stocks for some years due to a bearish mkt., and not least because,  2) brokers indirectly nurture endless "trading galore",  among the just very few -way overvalued- big cap stocks, like example DELTA (p/e 131, dividend yield 0.22%).   Thereby all but ignoring the impressive/established high dividend "yield horses".   A most interesting investor case can be made around these...and I know how to pick them! 

Further, and most interestingly:  they have just about zero or even negative correlation, to the US bubbly stock mkt.  In finance & investment we can show how offsetting-correlations are a very desirably portfolio enhancer(!) and risk reducers.  Especially during times of US stock market excesses.  All notably on top of 0% Thai inflation and along its strong currency!

Paul A. Renaud.
www.thaistocks.com

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