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PaulRen's picture

Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract.

Here is my basic case why invest in select quality/reputable high dividend yielding non-biggest cap. Thai stocks:   Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract. 

One of the attractions of gold is that it often moves opposite to generally perceived "good news". It can be proven in portfolio-theory that investments which do not move in tandem are a great way to reduce investors risks, i.e. volatility. US centric investors may not have fully grasped this -beyond gold.  The shortcoming with gold is that it has 0 current yield, so no "invisible-hand" to help holding it up, i.e. no income if/when times turn bad.  Emerging mkts. like oversold Thailand have such very, very different companies than the US, while yielding far, far higher current dividends...and at 1/4 or less US p/e ratios. (Average dividend yields on US stock is barely 1.2%).   If there was a US set back or a bubble burst there, as there always is in time,...these, as I know them, would hold-up far better I am convinced, as they are soo different and soo far removed -in all ways. Besides not least, for years already so under-owned!  Paul A. Renaud. www.thaistocks.com

PaulRen's picture

SET's ignored dividend horses.

The Thai stock exchange offers some of the highest so called "yield-gap" stocks -anywhere in the world!  Offsetting-correlations are a very desirably portfolio enhancer and risk reducer.

With some of the highest dividend yielding stocks anywhere, at 6-9%, vs. very low interest paid on Thai bank savings accounts (around 0.3%).   This means ultra-high quality yield cap. shares can be owned (including to foreingers) to experienced stock pickers here.  I believe this "yield-gap" is among the World's largest, anywhere!  

Why is this:  1) retail investors have shunned local stocks for some years due to a bearish mkt., and not least because,  2) they indirectly nurture endless "trading galore",  among the just very few -way overvalued- big cap stocks, like example DELTA (p/e 131, dividend yield 0.22%).   Thereby all but ignoring the impressive/established high dividend "yield horses".   A most interesting investor case can be made around these...and I know how to pick them! 

Further, and most interestingly, they have just about zero or even negative correlation, to the US bubbly stock mkt.  In finance & investment we can prove how offsetting-correlations are a very desirably portfolio enhancer(!) and risk reducers,  especially during times of US stock market excesses.  All notably on top of 0% Thai inflation and along a strong currency!

Paul A. Renaud.
www.thaistocks.com
PaulRen's picture

2 solid choices during dire times

Thai stocks in general have been shattered this year.

Yet, perusing Thai broker reports you would not know:

1) There is a highly successful/profitable listed company here which actually benefits earnings wise, from the tame Thai economy -and even more so from the unsustainable Thai consumer debt..., while paying 5% dividends (or 8 times more then local Thai bank deposit rates).

2) As well as a prominent exporter to nearly all over the world in a defensive industry, so reaping higher profit margins and paying record high dividends due to soaring profits this year and likely next. A big beneficiary of demographics. Yet never pointed out here. But I have and do, with lots of experienced analysis on location.  See my recent postings here on why and which 2 companies. 

Paul Renaud 

www.thaistocks.com 

Paularen@gmail.com 

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