Industry, Economic, General SET

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To trade or to just hold, that is the question.

Submitted by PaulRen on Mon, 12/01/2004 - 2:18am

As Chinese New Year approaches next week why not just let your fully diversified value stock selections rest a bit by just leaving them alone and focussing on other things in life.  Within a couple of months its annual dividend time again and even if there is a sell-off in...

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The outdated SET index benchmark

Submitted by PaulRen on Tue, 06/01/2004 - 7:19pm

The 464 stocks and warrants listed on the SET were up on average of only a scant 1.72% in December. So why are all news-organisations reporting how well the SET did last month?  Then on Jan 6, the SET market dropped over 21 points, yet many value stocks increased in...

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As a New Year approaches, what next?

Submitted by PaulRen on Sat, 20/12/2003 - 2:05am

As the SET rally broadens and matures next year it will be more and more difficult to beat the benchmark index.

For one, this lonely and only benchmark index is not a fair representation of stocks in Thailand because too much weighing in too few large cap stocks, unfairly influences...

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Risk analysis going forward.

Submitted by PaulRen on Sat, 29/11/2003 - 8:08pm

The massive upward re-valuation of many Thai shares this year, begs the questions: what is next?

With the Thai stock exchange up 60% from June 1 to December 1, it pays to ask what are some of the risk factors from now on. Today I identify what I ...

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Thailand Stocks, a brief introduction.

Submitted by PaulRen on Thu, 27/11/2003 - 3:26am

So called 'top down' investing, as practiced vigorously by the global institutions has been in full swing in emerging markets for more then a decade! This practice has given rise to immense and continuously increasing stock market pricing inefficiencies.

With global interest rates still at low levels, and recently...

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Bank stocks underperformance & Thailand scores.

Submitted by PaulRen on Mon, 24/11/2003 - 7:35pm

Since 1997 I wrote many times that as a rational SET investor, my own view is to avoid the Bank stocks. Over the years Bank stocks had periodic rallies and ever so often we get messages asking or telling me: "Surely the Bank stocks have now awoken". Yet, to date...

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A quality Member Lounge

Submitted by PaulRen on Tue, 18/11/2003 - 7:58pm

I don"t know if it was the season, the black cats, the half full moon or all the pressures & commotion in getting our new web site up, but on Friday October 31 early AM, I woke up with serious market jitters.

Below is an exact member lounge Posting...

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Broker nonsense on day trading galore.

Submitted by PaulRen on Sun, 16/11/2003 - 7:15pm

Regulators please contain the broker nonsense on day trading galore -at the expense to long term investing.

One area that has not improved much since the go-go 1990" s, it seems, is overall Thai broker behavior. There are still far too many licensed brokers here and many do not behave...

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Thailand’s Time has come Again

Submitted by PaulRen on Sun, 09/11/2003 - 1:22am

Here I review some older and newer reasons why I think the super charged Thai economic recovery has a lot further to go and why in time global fund managers and investors will most likely rate Thailand upwards and most developed countries downwards. Subtle changes at the margin, is what...

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