PaulRen's picture

SET bottomed out in late June 2025.

Duly note that end of June 2025, I turned SET bullish again for the first time in 3-4 years, due to in my view now that the market sell-off has been overdone... record many companies are buying back their own shares (treasury stock) while trading at or below its stated book values...while more than some are paying 6-8% in dividends -or some 20-25 times more then Thai Bank savings accounts. This is called the "yield-gap" which in my view is hugely distorted in fact to a record  -so at mid-year real investor opportunities emerging!

Paul A. Renaud.
www.thaistocks.com
PaulRen's picture

Beyond Thaistocks.com More real reforms need to take place.

Thaistocks.com was/is always about rational & value investing since its inception in 1997.    April 30 '2025 marked its 28th anniversary and the SET's 50th anniversary!   For 3 years, I here stated to be overall Thai stocks' bearish -due to the Thai economy slowing, lack of  SET/Broker real reforms & excess mkt. speculation -not least uninspiring politics. 
However, now with the massive sell-off in Thai stocks since 2022, I think the selling is overdone and while real reforms are still lagging, at the same time various stocks have turned "bargain which go begging".   Hence as of late June 2025 and with the SET now below 1080, I am turning selectively Thai stocks positive -for the first time in 3 1/2 yrs...and  I just identified such a stock pick to members. With my life-long multicultural background and 40+ years of professional investor experience I here make regular added added value unbiased comments.   (See latest articles below).    

Lack of confidence in existing rules, supervision and enforcement are among the key reasons for the local stock market’s continued lackluster performance, as recently reiterated by K. Pichai, Thai Finance Minister on March 27th.

July 7th 2025:   Thailand broker models are fundamentally flawed because they rely on trading revenue. This has been so for 25+ years -and never changed...only increased.  While nobody talks/writes about this: I currently/increasingly see Thai-broker consolidation in...

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PaulRen's picture

Markets assume and deserve some rationality.

Speculators, say in stock and currency markets, can serve a useful purpose.

They provide liquidity and so more dept to markets. Not least and this is not bad, take advantage of mkt. discrepancies.

The problem in recent years is they have become more and...

PaulRen's picture

Thai stocks' globally best July performer. Record by far on share buy backs.

Record share buy-back by Thai listed companies finally tabulated and published.  July best performing stock mkt. globally in US$ terms.

PaulRen's picture

My choice for a quality REIT pick -for high income and possible appreciation.

My new choice on a high quality, high dividend REIT pick for high income seeking more prudent investors. (Yielding 28 times more then plain vanilla Thai Bank Savings deposit yields.)

PaulRen's picture

New Thai BOT Governor to be announced is a positive.

Today the Thai Government will very likely announce its choice for a new Bank of Thailand Governor. (BOT)

The current one's term expires September 1 -and I for one much welcome a change!  The Thai Finance Minister as well as the likely new appointment has already clearly stated...

PaulRen's picture

Have Thai stocks reached its Nadir low point?

Have Thai stocks reached its nadir low point? I tend to think so and say so since end of June 2025.  Price-to-book, dividend-yields and p/e ratio's are all at record lows, this as compared to the very low (I think record low) level of Thai interest rates here. 

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