PaulRen's picture

Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract.

Here is my basic case why invest in select quality/reputable high dividend yielding non-biggest cap. Thai stocks:   Offsetting-correlation. Opposites attract. 

One of the attractions of gold is that it often moves opposite to generally perceived "good news". It can be proven in portfolio-theory that investments which do not move in tandem are a great way to reduce investors risks, i.e. volatility. US centric investors may not have fully grasped this -beyond gold.  The shortcoming with gold is that it has 0 current yield, so no "invisible-hand" to help holding it up, i.e. no income if/when times turn bad.  Emerging mkts. like oversold Thailand have such very, very different companies than the US, while yielding far, far higher current dividends...and at 1/4 or less US p/e ratios. (Average dividend yields on US stock is barely 1.2%).   If there was a US set back or a bubble burst there, as there always is in time,...these, as I know them, would hold-up far better I am convinced, as they are soo different and soo far removed -in all ways. Besides not least, for years already so under-owned!  Paul A. Renaud. www.thaistocks.com

PaulRen's picture

SET bottomed out in late June 2025.

At the end of June 2025, I turned SET bullish again for the first time in 3-4 years, due to in my view now that the market sell-off has been overdone... record many companies are buying back their own shares (treasury stock) -while many trading at or below their stated book values...more than some are paying 6-8% in dividends -or 20-25 times more then Thai Bank savings accounts.  This is called the "yield-gap" which in my view is hugely distorted and in fact a record  -so at mid-year real investor opportunities emerging!

Paul A. Renaud.
www.thaistocks.com
PaulRen's picture

Beyond Thaistocks.com More real reforms need to take place.

Thaistocks.com has always been about rational & value investing -since its inception in 1997.   For 3 years, I here stated to be overall Thai stocks' bearish -due to the Thai economy slowing, lack of  SET/Broker real reforms & excess mkt. speculation -not least uninspiring politics. 
However, since end of June '25, with the massive sell-off in Thai stocks since 2022, the selling is overdone while real reforms are forthcoming.  At the same time various stocks have turned "bargain which go begging".   Hence as of late June 2025 and with the SET below 1080, I turning selectively Thai stocks positive -for the first time in 3 1/2 yrs...I just identified such a stock pick to members.  With my life-long multicultural background and 40+ years of professional investor experience I here make regular added added value unbiased comments.   (See latest articles below).    

I've been analyzing Thai stocks, full time here, for over 3 decades...we have the highest so called "yield gap" anywhere. Meaning, inflation is 0% (the world's lowest) while Thai banks pay 0.3% interest on savings accounts. Yet, if you get beyond institutional obsession with liquidity, one can find even growth Thai listed quality companies which yield 6-8% in dividends.

But you would never know about this reading conventional biz news-nor likely be able to partake?...

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PaulRen's picture

China ETF beating US ETF's

In early 2025, I saw a 1 hour interview with the CEO of Black Rock, the world biggest money manager, talking broadly about investing....there he never once, but not once, mentioned China. While US stocks are often all the rage by Western centric money managers. Actually since early 2024, broad...

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More clarification by/on PSP.

On Mon, Sep 29, 2025 at 3:09 PM I received the following reply from PSP, to share in confidence with members here, then see how I him back answer below:

Dear Mr. Paul Renaud,
Thank you for sharing your report. I’ve reviewed the commentary and would like to

...
PaulRen's picture

My turnaround-stock pick.

SMD100 is my turnaround choice in a high growth domestic sector -with no US tariffs overhang- and of late upbeat statements made to me and SET. 

During the Covit I viewed SMD100 (just now trading 3.62, or half its IPO price.) (at that time called SMD) favorably and this...

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Restating my global views/Housekeeping-affirmation.

European leaders, just about everywhere there, are enduring record low approval ratings by its people for some time already, France is now witnessing strikes and revolts -for legitimate reasons. Record ever higher deficit spending with Russia phobia dominating...instead of addressing the root cause for this conflict. Donald T....

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PSP, my latest growth stock pick with high dividends and low p/e.

PSP what I think is a solid growth stock pick.  Unaffected by US tariffs (in fact indirectly benefiting), in a semi-defensive industry along low technology risks. A clear market leader trading trading 20% below its August '23 IPO, since doubling since it earnings. 

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