Are stock valuations telling us something?
In these grim summer times it might be good to look at a comparison of stock evaluations 10 years ago and today. I have retrieved the data from the excellent historical database of SET companies on this web site. (An original posting by a Member of Thaistocks.com, as shared here last monht) The average P/E values for a four year average from 91-94 was for 11 companies (some familiar to this site, some are not): PE old The average was a staggering 25.9. As a comparison the average P/E value for the companes from March 2005 was 7 (it would be even lower today). PE new While some companies had a tremenduous growth that justified a high P/E (DCC, TPC, AJ) others turned out to be laggards (SITHAI, PRANDA, RCI). The table below shows net profit increase ratio over the 10 years. Profit increase ratio The corresponding net shareholder value increase, based on the change in P/E valuations but excluding any dividends. Shareholder value increase (%) Although my comparison only includes a few companies I believe it indicates: PS. I am sorry I had to show the data in four tables but I couldn"t post a proper table. |