Beware and prepared of a coming US stock shakeup, and more.
I remain convinced the US stock market is in a huge bubble which at some point will end badly. The timing we don't know. It will mostly have to do with debt exploding and financial and US Govt. overreach. I can't help but to keep noticing all these upbeat comments, by often increasingly amateurs, in various forums and on LinkedIn. "Buy the dip", "40% returns", "patient investors always win", I was in Zurich, Switzerland just last week for a day, and Banks there from what I can tell are similarly US stock mesmerized -if not obsessed. "We like what we know" and over the past 12+ years many got to know US stocks, as they did soo well. We almost got a whole new generation which has never experienced a bear market.
In the meantime Donald T. is totally unhinged managing to upset many countries foes, and friends alike. His obsession with tariffs are a horror.... Every week another country it seems gets wronged. Switzerland at 39%!, why and what a horror. India being the latest which is appalled & galled and in outcry all over this most populous nation...all this doing is bringing the rest together, where the rest is 85% of the World. While W.Europe's politicians are hopelessly US glued. Bref, in the meantime US. Govt. debt is exploding exponentially while I and many predict stagflation will emerge there, soon. Stagflation was a real contentious issue for most of the 1970's -and resulted in a lost decade for US stocks back then.
The Shanghai Coopoeration Organization (SCO) is meeting next week and it promises to be a tour de force! While the Western media will try to downplay it, or barely report on it.
Hence my view remains to investor hide-out in highest dividend paying Thai stocks, but not high yielding Thai ETF's as my experienced picks prune-out, I am convinced, boring "Wall flowers" and less than reputable others. I dare to add, last not least, I think the Thai political events at the end of this week are in fact a net-positive as it likely marks the end of a time now gone past. Yes, Thai stocks will get hit if the US has a serious set back, but dividends will keep coming-in and recover faster, I predict. Just as it did in 2008, the last US induced global financial crisis.
Best Regards,
Paul A. Renaud. www.thaistocks.com